International Uncertainty 2020. The Future Today: MGIMO Researchers Forecasts
The MGIMO Institute for International Studies has accumulated extensive experience in forecasting international processes and continues this tradition. How to predict the dynamics of protracted frozen conflicts? How does analysis of social networks allow us to evaluate the prospects of conflict resolution? How to analyze the US actions in international crises when working with big data? What awaits the world in 2020?
Moderator: Andrey SUSHENTSOV, Director of the Institute for International Studies, Director of the Laboratory of International Trends Analysis, MGIMO University
Research projects:
► US Actions in International Crises: Experiencing Quantitative Analysis Method – Nikolay SILAEV, Leading Research Fellow at the Centre for Problems of the Caucasus and Regional Security of the MGIMO Institute for International Studies, Senior Research Fellow at the MGIMO Laboratory for International Trends Analysis
► 1 million Facebook posts over 2009-2018: on Ukraine’s external partners, its regions and Donbass – Alexey TOKAREV, Senior Research Fellow at the Centre for Global Problems of the MGIMO Institute for International Studies
► Electoral behavior transformations in Russia’s neighbouring countries – Igor OKUNEV, Director at the Centre for Spatial Analysis in International Relations of the MGIMO Institute for International Studies
► International Threats 2020: Forecasts and main theses – Nikolay SILAEV, Leading Research Fellow at the Centre for Problems of the Caucasus and Regional Security of the MGIMO Institute for International Studies, Senior Research Fellow at the MGIMO Laboratory for International Trends Analysis
Discussant: Andrey ILNITSKY, Adviser to the Minister of Defence of Russia
The session of the 4th Moscow Conference on Political Risks and Forecasting “International Uncertainty 2020” was held to celebrate the anniversary of Yevgeny Primakov.
The conference was organized by the Laboratory of International Trends Analysis, MGIMO University, within the framework of the research project, “Transformation of International System and the Next Innovation Wave”, which is supported by the Ministry of Science and Higher Education of the Russian Federation in accordance with the contract №14.641.31.0002 of April 26, 2018 on the allocation of a grant from the Government of the Russian Federation.
